I was in Phoenix for a week in January and happened to catch parts of JD Hayworth's shows his last week on the air. It was obvious from JD's carefully worded statements what his intentions were. But, he had not yet declared or formally filed to run for the US Senate.
I know little about JD other than a conservative reputation that precedes him. I have definite thoughts about John McCain, not all of which are conservative.
However, that week I formed a definite opinion about their race. You see, McCain ran commercials 24/7 that proclaimed JD was not a conservative, followed by a hideous laugh track then citing some innoucuous line in a bill that JD had voted for when he was in Congress. McCain even blanketed JD's radio shows with these ads.
Simply put, John succeeded in lowering my perception of his integrity to a new low. John so impressed me that I came home and wrote JD a campaign contribution.
I must draw a distinction between those ads and the ones being run against Jane Norton locally. In the case of JD he has a conservative record that he can stand on and the McCain attacks are at best obvously petty disinformation.
In the case of Jane, although I like her personally, she has no record of separating the thousand sub-parts of an issue required to cast a vote. I don't have room for another person who can give a great campaign speech but has no record when it comes to casting a vote when the stage lights are pointed at them. All she has is Resolution "C" and that is a valid lightning rod.
The PAC running TV ads attacking Ms. Norton is stating the case very directly and cuts right to the meat. I'm happy that Tom's radio spots addressing the same point do not name names.
However, with caucus time upon us this is a valid message to be surfaced. The rank and file party insiders as contrasted to the Rockefeller Republicans like Jane's former boss are quite aware of the relationship between Jane and Resolution "C". In fact at several recent large gatherings of Repbulicans where I was present, the Coroner candidates received a more lively reception than the former Lt Governor.
It is time that thousands of delegates to higher conventions that will be elected at the March 16th Caucuses get this message as well.
(- promoted by Rocky Mountain Right -)
Relative greenhorn Barack Obama is the likely Democrat nominee against the war vet and savvy Senator from Arizona, John McCain. Is the long slog of political war beginning to impact the national perception of someone once hailed as everything from a reincarnated John F. Kennedy to an orator with the tongue not seen since Martin Luther King Jr.? Methinks the shine is dulling and no longer does Obama captivate and capture the attention of either the press, or, much more importantly, the American citizens who will cast their vote in November.
But all this is conjecture... let's review the latest statistical evidence indicating Obama's weakness.
The latest Fox News poll, conducted after the Rev. Jeremiah Wright’s appearance at the National Press Club, showed Obama’s favorable/unfavorables at 63 to 27 percent among Democrats, compared to Hillary Clinton’s 73 to 22 percent. Suddenly she’s not the only one with high negatives. And 36 percent of Democrats say they would be disinclined to vote for Obama because of his longtime relationship with his former pastor. There’s more bad news in the Pew Research Center poll of Democrats. Obama’s national lead among Democrats is down from 49 to 39 percent to a statistically insignificant 47 to 45 percent.
These results are not outliers. The Rasmussen tracking poll showed Obama leading Clinton 49 to 41 percent before Wright spoke to the National Press Club. Afterward the numbers were 46 to 44 percent in favor of Clinton. The Gallup Poll had Obama leading Clinton 50 to 41 percent the night before the Pennsylvania primary. The results reported May 1 were Clinton 49 percent, Obama 45 percent.
Obama’s standing as a general election candidate also seems to have taken a hit. Gallup showed him tied with John McCain 45 to 45 percent before the Wright appearance and trailing 47 to 43 percent afterward; at the same time, it shows Hillary Clinton tied with McCain 46 to 46 percent. Similarly, Rasmussen has McCain now ahead of Obama 46 to 43 percent and McCain tied with Clinton 44 to 44 percent.
Those who regularly read and/or comment on this site understand that a single poll is not in and of itself a fully trustworthy data point but you DO realize it's value as it charts a trend. Obama is trending down... Clinton rises and fall with the prevailing wind (read Primary) and John McCain slowly and steadily has numbers that continue to creep up. More data and a link to the source below the fold.
Recent news: National Right to Life endorses McCain. Figures.
Come on pro-lifers! Let's support the same candidate for president that the pro-abortion Republicans for Choice has endorsed!!! Rah! Rah!
McCain opposes killing Jews in gas chambers!
McCain opposes lynching Blacks!
McCain does support the harvesting and killing of human beings for the purposes of Mengele-style medical experiments which will one day allow the cloning and cultivating of human embryos for transplant purposes to make the lives of every privileged elite citizen easier and more carefree...
But two out of three isn't really all that bad, when you're talking about post-Reagan Republican candidates, is it?!
If you want a better choice than National Right to LIfe, try out American Right to Life, based here in Colorado. They understand that a "Right to Life" means for every human being from the moment of conception. Otherwise it's just a privilege to life, granted or taken away by the government.
ARTL is committed to Personhood for unborn children, not just for lip-service to the pro-life cause. Not focused on electing pro-choice candidates just because they're better than the actively pro-abortion ones.
There will be a pro-life candidate on the 2008 ballot, but he won't be named John McCain. Principled conservatives should look for that man, rather than wasting their vote on a pro-choice candidate.
Bob Kyffin
Barack Obama's honeymoon might be over. The latest poll from Zogby International shows that Obama has dropped sharply in a general election match-up with John McCain:
The poll showed Arizona Sen. McCain, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, is benefiting from the lengthy campaign battle between Obama and Clinton, who are now battling to win Pennsylvania on April 22.
McCain leads 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.
That is a sharp turnaround from the Reuters/Zogby poll from last month, which showed in a head-to-head matchup that Obama would beat McCain 47 percent to 40 percent.
Obama's lead over Hillary Clinton among Democrats nationally has also evaporated and he is now in a statistical tie.
| McCain (R) | 46% |
| Obama (D) | 40% |
(- promoted by Rocky Mountain Right -)
Andrew Greeley, national columnist with the Chicago Sun-Times out of Chicago seems to have this election figured out. And in his math McCain wins.
Once again the Democrats seem determined to steal defeat from the jaws of victory.
One thing is certain... Colorado Democrats, most of whom are decidedly more moderate than their coastal counterparts, must be worried - no - downright terrified - of a battle that may well continue on in the shadow of the Rocky Mountain front range at the national convention.
The Democrats need both massive African-American support and a gender gap among women to win a presidential election. Is there any way they can appeal to both against Sen. John McCain?
Democrats have backed themselves into a corner and I agree with Greeley, it is potentially a lose-lose situation.
http://www.suntimes.com/news/greeley/837384,CST-EDT-greel12.article
CNN has just projected that John McCain has exceeded the 1,191 delegate threshold to officially win the Republican nomination for President. George W. Bush is expected to endorse Sen. McCain tommorrow and Mike Huckabee is expected to officially withdraw by the end of the week.
(- promoted by Rocky Mountain Right -)
(cross-posted at ColoradoPols)
How McCain wins purple states and the heart of his base.
McCain is no hard core conservative. He blocked conservative judges, won’t sign a no new taxes pledge, doesn’t want to drill in ANWR, and he isn’t a no holds barred pro-life guy. Guess what? That’s going to cause a wee problem come November when, in addition to the moderates that love him, McCain will need conservatives nationally to not only embrace his candidacy but invest in it with their time and financial resources. Let’s get into why McCain’s VP choice is more important than Bush 2000, Clinton 1992, or Bush 1988...